Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 2.522442 2.874717 3.248873 3.674835 4.145277 4.647905 5.224457
2024-12-29 1.985219 2.493462 3.075336 3.785889 4.624962 5.578944 6.739975
2025-01-05 1.607933 2.204522 2.934456 3.881155 5.063319 6.477021 8.280279
2025-01-12 1.281786 1.908280 2.723364 3.839415 5.303131 7.131123 9.556841
2025-01-19 1.079068 1.730031 2.624290 3.907534 5.661848 7.933057 11.045725
2025-01-26 0.917028 1.576499 2.529362 3.956224 5.980413 8.685057 12.496598
2025-02-02 0.791789 1.453695 2.456014 4.016360 6.304519 9.448267 13.987714
2025-02-09 0.673434 1.320391 2.346470 4.005000 6.515195 10.055566 15.284681
2025-02-16 0.565427 1.184933 2.213960 3.939755 6.632705 10.526970 16.402937
2025-02-23 0.494715 1.101769 2.153035 3.974737 6.894186 11.208151 17.837448
2025-03-02 0.420927 0.999791 2.046858 3.923306 7.012950 11.678386 18.979284
2025-03-09 0.377223 0.948025 2.020170 3.997405 7.327983 12.448858 20.583796
2025-03-16 0.326065 0.874096 1.948204 3.993170 7.525085 13.063249 22.005016
2025-03-23 0.300472 0.850568 1.967612 4.150672 7.998421 14.127914 24.153533
2025-03-30 0.273298 0.818554 1.966674 4.270550 8.414529 15.120218 26.229351
2025-04-06 0.234107 0.750283 1.884857 4.232839 8.556250 15.678882 27.651372
2025-04-13 0.210292 0.714860 1.865559 4.309854 8.899718 16.574697 29.631057
2025-04-20 0.187525 0.677214 1.836469 4.364021 9.203231 17.414343 31.547108
2025-04-27 0.168310 0.644944 1.814796 4.429786 9.529133 18.301231 33.565352
2025-05-04 0.146435 0.599750 1.757772 4.417753 9.708872 18.946068 35.208130
2025-05-11 0.124192 0.547433 1.676644 4.347183 9.772280 19.391357 36.533523
2025-05-18 0.110477 0.518610 1.648169 4.385136 10.042422 20.201197 38.485677
2025-05-25 0.094203 0.476320 1.579914 4.329431 10.125705 20.684029 39.900438